the future of sorghum could change due to strong demand from China and rising FOB prices
The
2019/20 production of sorghum is estimated at 1.85 Mt and exports at 650,000
tons, being a maximum since 2015. With anticipated foreign sales of the next
campaign at a historical record, the impact of the opening of the Chinese
market since 2019 stands out.
The
purchases of Argentine sorghum by China are a novelty since in the last decade
it has not been a frequent destination for our country. 359,000 tons have been
shipped to the Asian giant until August 2020, more than doubling the total
shipments during 2019 (144,000 tons).
The 46.6% of export earnings since April came from corn and soybeans.
Due
to the contributions of record corn exports and shipments of beans, flour and
soybean oil, from April to August only the soybean and corn complexes accounted
for just under 1 of every 2 dollars entered by exports.
Corn
exports for the month of August constituted a monthly record of shipments,
reaching 4.58 million tons. With the August data, it is confirmed that so far
in the 2019/20 season, corn shipments reach a historical record of 25.36 million
tons, exceeding the 22.51 Mt of the same period of the previous season. This
generated foreign exchange for US $ 3,447 million
Reduction of export duties on soya beans and by-products.
On
Thursday October 1st, the Minister of Economy announced, among other economic
measures, a modification in the export duties scheme on the soybean complex.
The
new taxes of soy beans will be reduced from 33 to 30% in October, 31.5% in
November and 32% in December, returning to 33% for the month of January
onwards;
By-products
will have of 28% in October, rising to 29.5% in November, 30% in December and
31% from January onwards.
For
soybean oil, the new tax is one percentage point below crude oil, while
biodiesel, in principle, corresponds to an aliquot of 26% in October, which
will converge to 29% in 2021.